Trap-shyness subsidence is a threshold function of mark-recapture interval in brown mudfish Neochanna apoda populations

The influence of capture interval on trap shyness, and temperature, rainfall and drought on capture probability (p) in 827 brown mudfish Neochanna apoda was quantified using mark-recapture models. In particular, it was hypothesized that the loss of trapping memory in marked N. apoda would lead to a capture-interval threshold required to minimize trap shyness. Neochanna apoda trap shyness approximated a threshold response to capture interval, declining rapidly with increasing capture intervals up to 16·5days, after which p remained constant. Tests for detecting trap-dependent capture probability in Cormack-Jolly-Seber models failed to detect trap shyness in N. apoda capture histories with capture intervals averaging 16days. This confirmed the applicability of the 16day capture-interval threshold for mark-recapture studies. Instead, N. apoda p was positively influenced by water temperature and rainfall during capture. These results imply that a threshold capture interval is required to minimize the trade-off between the competing assumptions of population closure and p homogeneity between capture occasions in closed mark-recapture models. Moreover, environmental factors that influence behaviour could potentially confound abundance indices, and consequently abundance trends should be interpreted with caution in the face of long-term climate change, such as with global warming.